War On Women: Ex-Drug Dealer Jay-Z Substitutes “Mitt” for “Bitch”, Women Hating Rapper, “Got 99 Problems But a Bitch/Mitt Ain’t One” Hope and Change/Forward Indeed:

“I changed this one up, I have to do it, I’m sorry. I didn’t get clearance from the Secret Service so if they come tackle me y’all save me,” Jay-Z said onstage before Obama’s speech. “I didn’t get that vetted, so let’s do that real fast before they come snatch me off this stage.”

This rapper thug that promotes violence against women, promotes gang behavior, promotes his drug dealing past, a horrible role model for the African American community is too stupid to know he is at an Obama rally not a Romney rally because slander against “Mitt” happens at every Obama rally, from Barack Obama himself, so why would the secret service want to tackle you.

But this is why War69.com loves America, because an unintelligent thug can make millions by stringing together nursery rhymes based on a vocabulary that is less than 100 words, brilliant, capitalism at its finest.

Joe Biden told by his handlers to prepare for a permanent vacation:

“You need to take a vacation!” the host told the vice president of the United States.

“Well, I’m going to take a vacation about about three days after this election is over,” Biden revealed. “That’s what they told me.”

Can’t wait to see this useless tool voted out of office on Tuesday November 6, 2012.

Chris Matthews, Chuck Todd, and John Heilemann on MSNBC today trying to convince voters that the Michael Bloomberg endorsement of Barack Obama is a huge deal. It is sad that Chrissy Matthews is so giddy, he doesn’t understand that he will be one of the reasons why Obama loses next week. The Obama campaign followed Chrissy’s advice after the first debate, they watched MSNBC and ordered Obama to become the snide, snarky, ironic, pretentious douche that MSNBC calls journalism. Obama proceeded to turn off middle America and the independents. The wise ass “I know more than you” crowd of MSNBC loved the weak “bayonets” line. It will be fun to watch them on election night.

And what is happening to Chuck Todd, Bloomberg is a big deal, bigger than the Des Moines Register endorsement. Memo to these three: Bloomberg is hated in NY, he doesn’t hold any water across the country. Oh and I forgot that Heilemann, who always has that overly serious elitist look on his face, claims that Hurricane Sandy will put Obama over the top because it is has been a virtual media black out for Romney the past five days. Yeah, a cable MSNBC black out, in the Battleground states the campaign coverage is omnipresent despite “Sandy”. So the mainstream media which favors Obama stopped discussing Romney for five days and that is supposed to hurt him. Nice try.

Ezra Klein Defends Nate Silver by Comparing Winning One Million Dollars to Winning Presidency, Idiotic/Kindergarten Thinking. Ezra Klein belongs on Sesame Street, amazing how this guy appears on shows like Morning Joe and is treated as if he is the liberal version of George Will. He often uses idiotic or kindergarten logic to support Obama/Axelrod’s talking points. Klein was famous for saying that individual aspects of Obama care polled above 50 percent and used this as some sort of evidence that Obama Care would be popular as long as Obama explained it better as if ObamaCare only involved covering pre-existing conditions. Klein did not understand that certainly the good parts of a bill will poll well but most people use adult intelligence and look at the bill as a whole and they summarily rejected the entirety that is Obama Care.

Back to Nate Silver, here is Klein’s Kindergarten Logic:

But it’s just as important to be clear about this: If Mitt Romney wins on election day, it doesn’t mean Silver’s model was wrong. After all, the model has been fluctuating between giving Romney a 25 percent and 40 percent chance of winning the election. That’s a pretty good chance! If you told me I had a 35 percent chance of winning a million dollars tomorrow, I’d be excited. And if I won the money, I wouldn’t turn around and tell you your information was wrong. I’d still have no evidence I’d ever had anything more than a 35 percent chance.

I guess wearing glasses does not make one George Will. Ezra Klein discovered this logic after putting down his Sesame Street building blocks. First off if Nate Silver can’t be wrong no matter who wins then how does he get credit for being right in 2008? We’ll leave that aside, the reason Ezra Klein uses idiotic/kindergarten thinking is that he uses winning a million dollars as a fair comparison to winning the presidency.

Currently the odds of winning a million dollars in New York State is one in 4 million if you play the NY Lottery game entitled “Sweet Million.

Of course if you game me a 35 percent chance of winning a million dollars when normally the odds are one in 4 million, certainly that would be beyond amazing. But we are talking about winning the presidency, either Romney will win or Obama will win, in a totally neutral environment the odds would be 50/50, one in two, not one in 4 million, so your kindergarten logic does not fly. Now with all of the available evidence, it is a basic 50/50 election, so yes, any Silver jackass that states the probability is 75 to 80 percent that Obama will win is utterly flawed and corrupt.

Why Nate Silver Is Wrong: No Presidential Election is The Same, Thus Your 75 to 80% Obama Wins Model is Wrong. Nate Silver is the biggest carnival barker in the political media show. If you read his articles he makes contradictory statements within the same article:

Since then, Mr. Obama’s standing has rebounded slightly. His position in the national polls has stabilized; although the national polls continue to tell a different story about the race than the state polls do; it can no longer be said that they have Mr. Obama behind. (More about that in a moment.)

….
But we’re at the point now where Mr. Obama may be a modest favorite even if the national polls are right. Two weeks ago, when Mr. Obama appeared to trail Mr. Romney by a point or so in the national polls, that would not have been the case.

Wait a second Silvy, you just said Obama is not behind in the national polls, then later in the article you said Obama is a modest favorite even if the national polls are right and he is behind but then in the next sentence you say Obama does not trail Romney by a point in the national polls.

Classic example of a bullshit artist who says one thousand things, who throws up all sorts of possibilities to always have a defense, always can say I was correct.

But the problem behind Nate Silver is a very simple one. His main defense is that he uses history or historical models as he puts it to judge the probability of one candidate’s chances against another. He says that when he compares this particular statistical reading of the presidential election against others in history, the candidate that was in Obama’s statistical position wins 80 percent of the time.

There is the lie, there is the faulty math, there is the bogus history. Because not only will Silver not reveal how many times in history the same statistics have matched up he can’t reveal the truth, every single Presidential election is different. There are no two presidential elections that have the same number of independents, the same number party id turnout, the same percentage of women to men or african americans to hispanic americans. There is not one election that has the same poll breakdown from each state or even each battleground state within a point or two as the 2012 presidential election has. Sure there may be one or two particular categories that are the same but it is a statistical impossibility that all of the major categories match up which is why you can’t look to history to predict the future in a national Presidential election and why without the Obama campaign internal numbers that Nate Silver had in 2008, in 2012 Nate Silver will be wrong.

Donald Trump’s October Surprise: The Gigantic Bombshell News is that Barack Obama’s Real Legal Name is Barry Soetoro, Drudge Report preparing the sirens to headline this in a big fashion.

War69.com has uncovered from a high level source that Donald Trump has evidence or claims to have evidence that Barack Obama’s real legal name is Barry Soetoro. War69.com is reporting this on October 23, 2012. The Drudge Report may follow with a blaring headline siren on Tuesday morning. Donald Trump is expected to make the official announcement Tuesday evening or Wednesday morning.

FlashBack 2008 Candidate Obama: Obama declares that failing to act against China hurts American Businesses and American Workers, Teamsters Jim Hoffa agrees:

“A change in our currency manipulation policy is long overdue,” Dodd, a candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination, said in a statement.

A 2008 Democratic rival, Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, urged Paulson to reconsider his failure to act against China. Obama said it raised “serious questions about the administration’s commitment to protecting the interests of American businesses and American workers.”

Union groups were unhappy, too. Teamsters President Jim Hoffa said the administration was refusing to acknowledge the overwhelming evidence of China’s currency manipulation. He said the practice “costs good American jobs.”

UPDATE: 2012, President Obama has not taken any of the above actions he recommended in 2008 against China to protect American businesses and American workers.

Flashback Candidate Obama 2008: Candidate Barack Obama Believes China Should Be Defined as a Currency Manipulator and would seek to make it Illegal Subsidy to allow U.S. imposed tariffs on Chinese Goods:

The U.S. trade deficit with China hit a record $256.3 billion in 2007. “Central to any rebalancing of our economic relationship must be change in currency practices,” Obama said in his policy paper.

“I will use all the diplomatic avenues available to seek a change in China’s currency practices,” he said.

Obama said China pegs its yuan currency at an “artificially low rate,” making its exports unfairly cheap.

He has backed legislation that would define currency manipulation as an illegal subsidy so that the United States could slap duties on more Chinese goods.

UPDATE: 2012, four years later, President Obama has done none of the above and the trade gap between China and the United States has widened.

Flashback: Barack Obama Steals “Bayonet” line from former debate opponent Alan Keyes in 2004, “Like trying to meet a bayonet with a sphagetti noodle”:

OBAMA: Well, I think that this administration has not been very good at what’s been called the exercise of “soft power.” You know, all of us recognize and reserve the right of the United States to exercise its military power in the national interest and for our national security–but we also have to recognize that a lot of our power comes from our ideals, our belief in freedom, our belief in democracy, our belief in the ability to work things through in a manner that comports with whatever frameworks of international law that have been shaped. And I think that, unfortunately, this administration has tended to be dismissive of any international efforts–and in his campaign, I think you witness it with a general disdain for, quote unquote, “globalism.” In some cases, this is just a function of us trying to have conversations with our allies so that we can move more effectively.

KEYES: See, I think the great problem is that you cannot give a soft response to a hard threat. It would be kind of like trying to meet a bayonet with a spaghetti noodle. And it’s not going to help the people of this country to survive.

2012 Third Presidential Debate Gaffe: Bob Schieffer, “Obama Bin Laden” when he meant to say “Osama Bin Laden”.